Saudi Arabia, Russia Both Yearn for $100 Oil Price
Russia and Saudi Arabia, who together make up more than half of OPEC+’s total production quota, are believed to be considering $100 oil as a fair price good for all. Yearn
The two OPEC+ heavyweights with their +11 million bpd quotas, say a $100 preference could lead to an active defense of this desired floor price.
OPEC has long decried the accusation that it targets specific oil prices—rather, as OPEC says, it looks to keep the oil market in balance. However, oil prices still have a role to play in maintaining that balance.
Anonymous OPEC+ officials, who wish to remain anonymous, told Reuters that OPEC+ has sent out signals that it prefers a price around $90 or $100 per Brent barrel—higher, than some in the industry had previously thought.
In the August OPEC+ meeting, when oil prices were near $100 but falling, OPEC+ took action—albeit minor action—to defend this price by cutting 100,000 bpd off its production quota.
It wasn’t enough to keep Brent prices near $100, but perhaps it has helped to keep Brent prices above $90 for the most part, as it fights against recession fears that seek to spook the market into believing crude oil demand could slump amid tough economic times.
As to why OPEC+ seems to have raised its desired floor price, one of Reuters Saudi sources indicated that materials costs have risen with inflation and that crude producers need more revenue to make up for higher production costs.
“An oil price at $120-130 is risky and Saudi will prevent that, but at $100 it won’t have a huge impact on the global economy – Saudi would be comfortable with that price,” one of the anonymous sources told Reuters
The report said as for Russia, which has had to offer its oil at discounts for months, it wants to see oil at no less than $100 per barrel, two Reuters sources familiar with Russian thinking said.
Reuters thinks that with both Saudi Arabia and Russia backing the $100 oil horse, it could only be a matter of time before OPEC+ agrees to actively defend this price level by cutting production