Nigeria Has Most Oil-Production Shortfall In Q1 2022 – World Bank

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………Attributes it to massive oil theft, internal sabotage

World Bank has joined the growing league of authorities harping on the oil theft incidence ravaging Nigeria’s fortunes. The global body said yesterday that Nigeria has the largest shortfall among oil-producing countries in the first quarter of 2022.

The World Bank said this development is attributable to internal sabotage and other factors, such as low foreign and local investments and a legal framework that the players in the sector are still skeptical about.

The report contained in its latest Commodity Markets Outlook report, the World Bank stated that Nigeria has a shortfall of 500,000 barrels per day, while Angola and Russia both have a shortfall of 300,000 barrels per day.

The Bank pointed out that although global oil production rose just under one percent in the first quarter of 2022, based on a quarter-by-quarter analysis, it was around three percent below pre-pandemic levels, an increase it attributed to the decisions of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Plus.

“The increase was entirely accounted for by OPEC+, where production rose by about 1 mb/d as the group continued to unwind its earlier cuts. Output among non-OPEC+ countries fell slightly by 0.2 mb/d in the first quarter, with a decline of 0.3 mb/d in the United States partially offset by a modest rise in Brazil.

“Although OPEC+ production increased modestly, the group continues to produce well below its official target. In March 2022, 12 of the 19 countries subject to production cuts were below their quotas. Since the start of 2022, the shortfall has averaged more than 1 mb/d, and in March the gap had widened to 1.4 mb/d as Russia’s production declined.

“At present, the largest shortfalls are in Nigeria (0.5 mb/d) and Angola and Russia (each 0.3 mb/d). Production has been affected by a variety of temporary factors including maintenance (Kazakhstan and Libya), protests (Kazakhstan), sabotage (Nigeria), and bad weather (Iraq, Libya).

“In addition to these factors, low investment in recent years, compounded by COVID-19, may have reduced productive capacity. The group is expected to fully unwind its agreed production cuts by September 2022, in line with previous announcements”, the report stated.

However, despite the modest increase, the bank lamented that the oil-producing countries continued to produce below the official target. Nigeria’s crude oil production crashed by 744,000 barrels per day in March 2021, according to OPEC.

Earlier in April 2022, it was reported that the OPEC raised Nigeria’s oil production quota from the 1.735 million barrels per day target approved in April 2022, to a new target of 1.753 million barrels per day for May 2022.

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